Little to no additional accumulation in KC. Olathe maybe only 4.7"Ħ AM to Noon FRI: Snow moves east of the area. Midnight: 6 AM FRI: Snow tapers off to flurries. Additional inch falls, totals up to 3.5".Ħ PM to Midnight FRI: Snow, picks back up to moderate, heavy at times. Up to 2.5" of snow accumulation around KC, higher north. Up to 1" of snow accumulation.Ħ AM to Noon: Snow, light to moderate. Midnight to 3 AM: Snow starts moving in from the northwest.ģ AM to 6 AM: Snow, moderate to heavy at times. This will be a long duration light-moderate snowfall event. Kuchera may mean higher totals at times, but at the onset temperatures will be near freezing - so there may be some melt at the onset. NAM is the only model showing more than 0.53". Someone may get the short end of the stick and only see 2-3" though. But in general I think most people should see 3-5". I'm sticking to my gut.Ģ-5" for Kansas City metro area. While the most aggressive of TV stations around here are saying 4-8 inches and I even saw one last night that put out some insane ridiculous 17" total for Kansas City. Even the most aggressive of the computer models only show just over 1/2" of liquid equivalent. For your convenience, this technique has been adapted on this website such that given a model forecast sounding (obtained from the WRF/NAM and GFS), you can determine the likelihood that the snow will fall into one of three density classes (heavy, with ratios up to 9:1 average, with ratios from 9:1 up to 15:1 light, with ratios exceeding 15:1). In fact we are in the core of the storm as far as snow totals appear. Latest data shows the snow continuing to target Kansas City proper. The reason ratios are usually higher at the end of the events here is because cold, dry air starts eroding at the precipitation back end. The other problem is many times the higher ratios will be at the back side of the event as the storm moves out and forcing weakens, and many times models overdo the moisture from the comma head as it moves out - "anvil rain" type of stuff. BUT - and the big BUT here, is that in many events we get we have numerous challenges - warm ground, warm air at the onset or end of the event, limited moisture, sleet, you name it - and with all these challenges, even if part of the event falls at a 15:1 or higher ratio, the part of the event that doesn't produce anything or falls at a 7:1 or 8:1 ratio (if above freezing) pretty much means you can throw the Kuchera ratio away, and the average totals of the event equate more to 10:1 for the duration of the event (even if there was a few hours where it was 17:1.) Some storms we have gotten particularly the February 2013 blizzard produced 16:1 ratios, and some even have produced higher in the past in these parts. It can be somewhat accurate at times given some setups. The Kuchera ratio attempts to factor in colder temperatures to give higher ratios. ![]() This means for every 1" of snow we get, it melts down to 0.1" of rainfall. ![]() For people that are not aware, the way snow works is around 30-32 degrees snow melts down at a 10:1 ratio. Kuchera is a algorithm that predicts snowfall output using air temperatures and calculates the snowfall ratio. ![]() that goes something on the lines of "Never use Kuchera." ДЕВОЧКА УЭНСДЕЙ - Лизогуб.There is a famous phrase that started up this winter by a source that's initials is J.L. TikTok video from Дмитрий "Alternative ww2.
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